Saturday, October 23, 2004

The Move Has Begun

The Mason-Dixon Polling Company, which had the best overall record in the 2000 and 2002 election cycles, is out with new numbers from the 2000 red states and 2000 blue states. The Red States break down as follows (B-K-N):
CO: 49-43-1 (+6)
MO: 49-44-x (+5)
NH: 48-45-1 (+3)
OH: 46-45-x (+1)
WV: 49-44-1 (+5)
NV: 52-42-1 (+10)


A surprise is Nevada, which many speculated would be a true swing state this year trending towards Kerry. More surprising are the numbers for the Blue States that are slowly leaking out.

PA: 45-46 (-1)
OR: 45-46 (-1)
WI: 45-45 TIE
IA: 49-43 (+5)
NM: 49-44 (+5)
MI: 46-47 (-1)
MN: 47-45 (+2)


It should be troubling for Kerry's campaign that Bush is leading in all five of the red states listed and in Mason-Dixon's Florida poll and Bush is ahead in 3 of the Gore Blue States.

No comments: